Forecasting Advantage

Products
  • Reliable data 40 days in advance

    TempRisk is the first commercial application with scientifically validated statistical methods that analyze the risks for extreme heat and cold events up to 40 days in advance.

  • An independent approach

    TempRisk provides independent, objective, and unbiased information that demonstrates a significant link between past global weather conditions and future extreme temperature events.

  • Breakthrough methodology

    TempRisk's state of the art software tools allow you to make better weather driven decisions.

TempRisk

A uniquely quantified and objective approach

Regions Lead Time

Valid information at longer lead times

TempRisk formulates the odds of extreme weather events up to 40 days in advance -- a lead time that is almost twice as long as any in the industry.

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TempRisk Dashboard  
Forecasting

"Big Data" comes to weather: TempRisk's innovative, objective approach

TempRisk is a breakthrough tool that uses more than 60 years of global weather pattern analysis along with current observational data to objectively quantify the risk for future extreme temperature events.

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TempRisk Matrix  
Pattern Correlation

State-of-the-art software: Creating a market advantage

TempRisk's suite of intuitive software tools allows you to bring the weather into the decision making process in an "advantaged" way.

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TempRisk Almanac  

TempRisk Weeklies

A weekly analysis of TempRisk's extended-range forecasts

Weeklies

Once-a-week comparative analysis of TempRisk signals and the ECMWF

The TempRisk Weeklies provides a once-a-week discussion of TempRisk’s US and Europe signals in comparison to the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF). The Weeklies offers easy-to-use forecast analysis, quick-view maps and charts, and weekly highlights with actionable takeaways.

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TempRisk Weeklies  

Available Regions

Pick a region below for more detail.

Pacific Northwest US
Pacific Southwest US
South-Central US
Central US
Midwest US
East US
Southeast Us
Midwest East US
Europe
Asia Pacific

Case Studies

Why does this matter?

TempRisk 4.0 vs. ECMWF Weekly Forecasts

TempRisk v4.0 provided valuable insight into a high-probability and high-confidence HeatRisk event

We know there are specific instances when TempRisk forecasts exceed market forecast skill. In early Feb 2008 TempRisk v4.0 identified synoptic-scale patterns conducive to HeatRisk over the Midwest–East U.S. that were not forecasted by the ECMWF.

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Ahead of The Market: East US Nov 2011

The 30-day advanced notice of HeatRisk in the early winter meant money in the bank for energy analysts using TempRisk.

It was nearly unanimous; much of the commercial meteorology world thought winter 2011-2012 for East and Midwest US was going to be blisteringly cold. TempRisk, however, presented elevated risk for an extended period of warmth.

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Comparing Forecast Methods: East US July 2011

Leveraging TempRisk alongside traditional model guidance allows EarthRisk's customers to make better weather-driven decisions.

Building forecast confidence: Using TempRisk's independently derived data together with the traditional forecast models.

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Use Case: Unexpected Results

TempRisk crunches massive amounts of data to identify and quantify non- intuitive signals and pattern combinations -- often with surprising results.

TempRisk's unique ability to identify and quantify non-intuitive combinations of synoptic weather patterns can demonstrate an empirical link between past global weather conditions and future extreme temperature events.

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Subscription Comparison

  • TempRisk Tiers These tiers offer quantified objective decision support data.
  • TempRisk Professional The top tier provides forecast guidance and pattern analytics
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Features

Pro

Standard

Weeklies

TempRisk Weeklies Included Included Included
TempRisk Dailies Included Included Not-Included
Daily Summary Email Included Included Not-Included
Dashboard Included Included Not-Included
Scorecard Included Included Not-Included
Current Season Data Included Included Not-Included
Preliminary Data Included Included Not-Included
TempRisk Matrix Included Not-Included Not-Included
Historical Season Data Included Not-Included Not-Included
TempRisk Almanac Included Not-Included Not-Included
TempRisk Signals Included Not-Included Not-Included
TempRisk Indices Included Not-Included Not-Included
Analysis Maps Included Not-Included Not-Included
EarthRisk Reports Included Not-Included Not-Included
GSDM Diagnostics Included Not-Included Not-Included
Pattern Catalogs Included Not-Included Not-Included
External Research Included Not-Included Not-Included